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Red230
63983.2
260180.8
36992.9
Blue190
35387.1
166575.0
115684.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572710100200300400500600230190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#36
92.90.4
88.988.5
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
red by 5.8
353
#11
87.11.8
90.088.2
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End43.6
Second
639
#15
83.20.3
80.079.6
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
blue by 1.6
1156
#32
84.81.8
87.785.9
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.8
Third
2601
#10
80.80.4
76.876.4
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4
red by 5.8
75.01.4
77.375.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End34.3