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Red345
640162.5
25097.1
179697.2
Blue281
36992.9
260180.8
63983.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278254100200400500345281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#13
97.20.4
98.397.9
Auto11.6
Teleop59.2
End26.5
red by 4.4
369
#36
92.90.3
88.388.6
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
Second
250
#1
97.10.3
97.997.6
Auto8.9
Teleop45.4
End42.7
red by 13.9
639
#15
83.20.3
79.579.7
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
Third
6401
#21
62.50.4
63.663.2
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End25.5
blue by 18.3
2601
#10
80.80.3
76.276.6
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4