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Red250
63983.2
260180.8
36992.9
Blue215
35387.1
166575.0
115684.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562650100200300400500600250215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#36
92.90.1
88.588.6
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
red by 5.8
353
#11
87.11.1
88.287.1
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End43.6
Second
639
#15
83.20.1
79.679.7
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
blue by 1.6
1156
#32
84.81.1
85.984.8
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.8
Third
2601
#10
80.80.1
76.476.6
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4
red by 5.8
75.00.9
75.975.0
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End34.3