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Red310
115684.8
166575.0
35387.1
Blue235
602488.2
163553.3
52786.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702300100200300400500310235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#11
87.11.5
88.590.0
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End43.6
blue by 1.1
6024
#14
88.20.3
86.786.9
Auto10.8
Teleop37.4
End40.0
Second
1156
#32
84.81.5
86.287.7
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.8
blue by 1.2
527
#26
86.00.3
84.184.4
Auto4.2
Teleop42.2
End39.5
Third
75.01.2
76.177.3
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End34.3
red by 21.7
53.30.3
53.053.3
Auto3.6
Teleop33.3
End16.5