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Red321
412274.0
115595.8
303112.5
Blue257
20117.9
341985.0
331472.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296294220240260280320340360321257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#9
112.50.9
110.9111.8
Auto16.7
Teleop54.7
End41.1
blue by 5.5
20
#4
117.90.5
119.8119.3
Auto16.0
Teleop54.8
End47.1
Second
95.81.1
94.095.0
Auto9.5
Teleop41.6
End44.7
red by 10.9
85.00.6
87.286.6
Auto5.1
Teleop46.3
End33.5
Third
4122
#20
74.01.1
72.173.2
Auto4.9
Teleop29.7
End39.3
red by 1.9
3314
#24
72.10.5
73.973.4
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End21.6