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Red240
115684.8
166575.0
35387.1
Blue300
602488.2
501673.7
52786.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271254100200300400500240300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#11
87.10.4
90.089.6
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End43.6
blue by 1.1
6024
#14
88.21.3
86.988.2
Auto10.8
Teleop37.4
End40.0
Second
1156
#32
84.80.4
87.787.3
Auto10.5
Teleop38.5
End35.8
blue by 1.2
527
#26
86.01.5
84.485.9
Auto4.2
Teleop42.2
End39.5
Third
75.00.3
77.377.0
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End34.3
red by 1.3
5016
#19
73.71.5
72.173.6
Auto7.5
Teleop35.6
End30.6