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Red206
304453.8
35387.1
659351.8
Blue195
412274.0
409163.0
520250.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198196160180220240206195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#11
87.11.7
86.988.6
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End43.6
red by 13.1
4122
#20
74.00.8
67.868.7
Auto4.9
Teleop29.7
End39.3
Second
3044
#40
53.81.2
57.658.8
Auto8.8
Teleop35.7
End9.3
blue by 9.2
4091
#30
63.00.8
66.267.1
Auto8.4
Teleop32.0
End22.5
Third
6593
#37
51.81.9
43.445.3
Auto7.7
Teleop29.6
End14.4
red by 1.4
5202
#43
50.40.8
52.253.1
Auto6.3
Teleop23.7
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed