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Red145
287581.9
81047.2
664839.7
Blue217
395068.9
166575.0
320430.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18617950100150200250300145217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#23
81.93.0
86.583.6
Auto8.6
Teleop34.4
End38.9
red by 7.0
75.01.4
70.672.0
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End34.3
Second
810
#27
47.23.0
52.949.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End14.7
blue by 21.7
3950
#39
68.92.0
64.866.9
Auto5.1
Teleop34.7
End29.1
Third
6648
#28
39.73.0
36.333.4
Auto2.4
Teleop23.8
End13.5
red by 8.9
3204
#45
30.82.0
35.437.5
Auto3.2
Teleop21.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed