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Red195
6300100.1
660151.9
260180.8
Blue305
457180.6
25097.1
192366.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25123604006008001,0001,2001,400195305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#18
100.12.8
101.098.3
Auto13.0
Teleop42.7
End44.3
red by 3.0
250
#1
97.15.2
93.398.5
Auto8.9
Teleop45.4
End42.7
Second
2601
#10
80.83.7
79.976.2
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4
red by 0.2
4571
#25
80.67.0
73.680.6
Auto4.7
Teleop33.1
End42.8
Third
6601
#38
51.93.7
55.651.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End23.7
blue by 14.6
66.55.2
59.564.7
Auto7.0
Teleop35.1
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed