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Red289
287229.1
303112.5
602488.2
Blue95
581437.2
409163.0
512329.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270128010020030040050028995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#9
112.53.3
114.5111.2
Auto16.7
Teleop54.7
End41.1
red by 49.5
4091
#30
63.04.1
67.163.0
Auto8.4
Teleop32.0
End22.5
Second
6024
#14
88.23.3
89.986.7
Auto10.8
Teleop37.4
End40.0
red by 51.0
5814
#47
37.24.1
41.337.2
Auto3.9
Teleop23.0
End10.2
Third
2872
#46
29.14.3
33.529.1
Auto2.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 0.4
5123
#33
29.63.1
32.629.6
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed