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Red445
25063.9
35873.3
588185.9
Blue205
523662.2
514979.8
304444.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2381810100300400500445205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5881
#18
85.92.8
84.086.8
Auto12.2
Teleop41.2
End32.6
red by 6.1
79.80.6
77.477.9
Auto8.8
Teleop30.4
End40.6
Second
358
#5
73.32.8
71.374.2
Auto8.5
Teleop42.8
End21.9
red by 11.1
62.20.6
59.760.3
Auto6.3
Teleop40.1
End15.8
Third
250
#31
63.92.8
61.964.7
Auto6.7
Teleop40.1
End17.1
red by 19.1
3044
#20
44.70.6
42.042.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.7
End14.0