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Red205
25063.9
35873.3
588185.9
Blue240
523662.2
514979.8
304444.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248182100300400205240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5881
#18
85.90.5
86.886.4
Auto12.2
Teleop41.2
End32.6
red by 6.1
79.81.3
77.979.2
Auto8.8
Teleop30.4
End40.6
Second
358
#5
73.30.5
74.273.7
Auto8.5
Teleop42.8
End21.9
red by 11.1
62.21.3
60.361.6
Auto6.3
Teleop40.1
End15.8
Third
250
#31
63.90.5
64.764.3
Auto6.7
Teleop40.1
End17.1
red by 19.1
3044
#20
44.71.5
42.644.1
Auto7.1
Teleop23.7
End14.0