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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Miami Valley Regional
Red197
55468.2
320179.7
225281.4
Blue255
414581.7
6388.4
278381.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230274100200300400500197255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#26
81.40.7
79.8→79.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End32.6
blue by 7.0
63
#6
88.40.0
89.3→89.3
Auto9.5
Teleop40.2
End38.8
Second
3201
#5
79.70.7
77.9→77.2
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End46.9
blue by 2.0
4145
#9
81.70.0
82.6→82.7
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End35.2
Third
554
#30
68.20.7
66.5→65.9
Auto3.9
Teleop33.2
End31.0
blue by 12.9
2783
#23
81.10.0
81.9→81.9
Auto8.9
Teleop43.9
End28.3