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Red315
217262.6
541395.0
1559106.2
Blue255
245178.7
48106.3
408582.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278275200250300350315255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.21.0
106.2107.2
Auto8.4
Teleop43.9
End53.9
blue by 0.2
48
#3
106.30.2
104.4104.2
Auto13.3
Teleop47.2
End45.8
Second
95.01.0
95.096.0
Auto11.0
Teleop40.9
End43.0
red by 12.5
4085
#16
82.50.2
80.680.4
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End34.3
Third
2172
#36
62.61.0
62.663.6
Auto6.5
Teleop29.8
End26.4
blue by 16.1
2451
#27
78.70.2
76.876.6
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End31.3