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Red310
478337.3
201387.3
4001104.3
Blue330
124186.7
132587.3
633663.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237234150200250300310330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#11
104.31.9
101.8103.7
Auto11.9
Teleop43.5
End48.8
red by 17.0
87.31.8
83.184.8
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End31.1
Second
87.31.9
84.886.7
Auto8.3
Teleop44.2
End34.7
red by 0.6
86.71.8
82.484.2
Auto11.5
Teleop50.0
End25.1
Third
4783
#28
37.31.9
34.836.7
Auto2.6
Teleop24.8
End9.8
blue by 26.6
6336
#16
63.91.8
59.661.4
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8