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Red320
415248.2
1285115.3
86590.0
Blue235
434368.9
78182.6
492073.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254233100150200300350400320235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.31.8
110.2112.0
Auto11.6
Teleop48.4
End55.3
red by 32.8
781
#8
82.60.3
82.382.6
Auto7.7
Teleop39.4
End35.4
Second
865
#5
90.01.8
84.986.7
Auto8.2
Teleop40.0
End41.8
red by 17.1
4920
#14
73.00.3
72.773.0
Auto9.1
Teleop39.4
End24.5
Third
4152
#23
48.21.8
43.044.8
Auto11.6
Teleop28.7
End7.9
blue by 20.8
4343
#21
68.90.3
68.768.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.0
End39.9