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Red255
478337.3
201387.3
4001104.3
Blue306
124186.7
132587.3
633663.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243239150200300350255306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#11
104.30.6
103.7104.3
Auto11.9
Teleop43.5
End48.8
red by 17.0
87.31.7
84.886.5
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End31.1
Second
87.30.6
86.787.3
Auto8.3
Teleop44.2
End34.7
red by 0.6
86.71.7
84.285.9
Auto11.5
Teleop50.0
End25.1
Third
4783
#28
37.30.6
36.737.3
Auto2.6
Teleop24.8
End9.8
blue by 26.6
6336
#16
63.91.7
61.463.1
Auto2.3
Teleop25.7
End35.8