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Red188
415248.2
1285115.3
86590.0
Blue313
494691.1
299493.3
133440.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247220100300400500188313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.31.0
107.7106.8
Auto11.6
Teleop48.4
End55.3
red by 22.1
2994
#10
93.32.2
89.091.2
Auto10.5
Teleop40.9
End41.8
Second
865
#5
90.01.0
82.481.5
Auto8.2
Teleop40.0
End41.8
blue by 1.1
4946
#12
91.12.2
86.889.1
Auto12.6
Teleop39.4
End39.1
Third
4152
#23
48.21.0
40.639.6
Auto11.6
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 7.4
1334
#24
40.72.2
36.438.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.0
End13.5