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Red305
415248.2
1285115.3
86590.0
Blue301
494691.1
299493.3
133440.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422290100200300400500305301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.31.7
106.8108.5
Auto11.6
Teleop48.4
End55.3
red by 22.1
2994
#10
93.31.3
91.292.5
Auto10.5
Teleop40.9
End41.8
Second
865
#5
90.01.7
81.583.2
Auto8.2
Teleop40.0
End41.8
blue by 1.1
4946
#12
91.11.3
89.190.3
Auto12.6
Teleop39.4
End39.1
Third
4152
#23
48.21.7
39.641.3
Auto11.6
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 7.4
1334
#24
40.71.3
38.739.9
Auto1.2
Teleop26.0
End13.5