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Red311
415248.2
1285115.3
86590.0
Blue258
494691.1
299493.3
133440.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248233100150200300350400311258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.31.6
108.5110.1
Auto11.6
Teleop48.4
End55.3
red by 22.1
2994
#10
93.30.8
92.593.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.9
End41.8
Second
865
#5
90.01.6
83.284.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.0
End41.8
blue by 1.1
4946
#12
91.10.8
90.391.1
Auto12.6
Teleop39.4
End39.1
Third
4152
#23
48.21.6
41.343.0
Auto11.6
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 7.4
1334
#24
40.70.8
39.940.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.0
End13.5