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Red501
4814102.3
2056155.6
610132.0
Blue493
4976126.2
4939117.8
2200114.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502440300400600700501493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.60.2
155.6155.4
Auto32.6
Teleop70.4
End52.6
red by 29.4
4976
#13
126.20.9
124.8125.6
Auto17.2
Teleop62.5
End46.6
Second
610
#3
132.00.2
132.0131.8
Auto16.2
Teleop63.6
End52.2
red by 14.2
117.80.9
116.4117.2
Auto14.6
Teleop56.8
End46.5
Third
4814
#22
102.30.2
102.3102.1
Auto10.1
Teleop50.1
End42.0
blue by 12.5
2200
#14
114.70.9
113.3114.1
Auto14.6
Teleop52.5
End47.7