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Red472
2200114.7
4939117.8
4976126.2
Blue205
4917113.1
503697.8
4476107.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458416200300500600472205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#13
126.20.1
126.1126.1
Auto17.2
Teleop62.5
End46.6
red by 13.1
4917
#10
113.12.7
115.8113.1
Auto11.4
Teleop57.4
End44.3
Second
117.80.1
117.6117.7
Auto14.6
Teleop56.8
End46.5
red by 10.2
4476
#23
107.72.7
110.4107.7
Auto16.2
Teleop50.6
End40.9
Third
2200
#14
114.70.1
114.6114.6
Auto14.6
Teleop52.5
End47.7
red by 17.0
97.82.7
100.597.8
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End35.3