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Red480
2200114.7
4939117.8
4976126.2
Blue470
4917113.1
503697.8
4476107.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457413200300500600480470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#13
126.20.5
125.5126.1
Auto17.2
Teleop62.5
End46.6
red by 13.1
4917
#10
113.10.9
114.9115.8
Auto11.4
Teleop57.4
End44.3
Second
117.80.5
117.1117.6
Auto14.6
Teleop56.8
End46.5
red by 10.2
4476
#23
107.70.9
109.4110.4
Auto16.2
Teleop50.6
End40.9
Third
2200
#14
114.70.5
114.0114.6
Auto14.6
Teleop52.5
End47.7
red by 17.0
97.80.9
99.6100.5
Auto13.3
Teleop49.2
End35.3