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Red417
2609118.8
1114128.9
188116.5
Blue449
1241104.8
6009109.3
4678101.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4513870100200300500600700417449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.90.5
130.2129.7
Auto31.0
Teleop55.2
End42.6
red by 19.5
109.30.8
108.3109.1
Auto13.5
Teleop49.8
End46.0
Second
2609
#43
118.80.5
120.1119.6
Auto16.5
Teleop53.4
End48.8
red by 13.9
1241
#38
104.80.8
103.8104.6
Auto16.2
Teleop51.4
End37.2
Third
188
#34
116.50.5
117.8117.3
Auto17.1
Teleop54.6
End44.8
red by 14.6
4678
#32
101.90.8
100.9101.7
Auto14.4
Teleop52.1
End35.4