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Red498
2609118.8
1114128.9
188116.5
Blue465
1241104.8
6009109.3
4678101.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4493900100200300500600700800498465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.90.1
129.7129.8
Auto31.0
Teleop55.2
End42.6
red by 19.5
109.31.1
109.1110.2
Auto13.5
Teleop49.8
End46.0
Second
2609
#43
118.80.1
119.6119.7
Auto16.5
Teleop53.4
End48.8
red by 13.9
1241
#38
104.81.1
104.6105.7
Auto16.2
Teleop51.4
End37.2
Third
188
#34
116.50.1
117.3117.5
Auto17.1
Teleop54.6
End44.8
red by 14.6
4678
#32
101.91.1
101.7102.8
Auto14.4
Teleop52.1
End35.4