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Red140
1285113.1
124654.8
131095.3
Blue255
663278.5
3683108.8
865107.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27131702004006008001,0001,2001,400140255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#28
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto11.6
Teleop58.9
End42.6
red by 4.3
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop57.3
End38.1
Second
1310
#27
95.30.0
95.395.3
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
blue by 12.4
865
#16
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
Third
1246
#26
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End19.4
blue by 23.7
6632
#19
78.50.0
78.578.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.2
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor odds29%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds