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Red160
651384.1
854112.3
613577.7
Blue255
434391.4
6009110.9
4939113.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28034002004006008001,0001,200160255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#20
112.30.0
112.3112.3
Auto14.7
Teleop44.4
End53.2
blue by 0.8
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto14.5
Teleop60.7
End37.9
Second
84.10.0
84.184.1
Auto9.3
Teleop38.9
End35.8
blue by 26.8
6009
#15
110.90.0
110.9110.9
Auto8.0
Teleop55.5
End47.3
Third
6135
#30
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto5.5
Teleop30.2
End42.0
blue by 13.7
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End41.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor odds83%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds