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Red445
238689.0
4039116.5
4939106.2
Blue259
5406112.0
4976124.8
461877.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330349150200250300400450500550445259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.50.8
116.3117.1
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
blue by 8.3
124.81.5
129.0127.5
Auto17.0
Teleop57.3
End50.5
Second
4939
#26
106.20.8
106.0106.8
Auto13.8
Teleop50.5
End41.9
blue by 5.8
112.01.5
116.2114.7
Auto16.9
Teleop51.4
End43.8
Third
2386
#17
89.00.8
88.889.5
Auto9.9
Teleop45.6
End33.5
red by 11.4
4618
#36
77.61.5
81.880.3
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5