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Red453
461877.6
4976124.8
5406112.0
Blue290
495191.6
648180.3
600992.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357265100200300400500600453290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.80.6
128.3128.9
Auto17.0
Teleop57.3
End50.5
red by 32.4
6009
#11
92.40.5
91.992.4
Auto10.9
Teleop44.3
End37.1
Second
112.00.6
115.5116.1
Auto16.9
Teleop51.4
End43.8
red by 20.4
4951
#25
91.60.5
91.191.6
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End51.4
Third
4618
#36
77.60.6
81.181.7
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5
blue by 2.8
80.30.5
79.980.3
Auto6.6
Teleop39.3
End34.4