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Red421
461877.6
4976124.8
5406112.0
Blue305
495191.6
648180.3
600992.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358261100200300400500600421305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.80.1
128.4128.3
Auto17.0
Teleop57.3
End50.5
red by 32.4
6009
#11
92.41.0
90.991.9
Auto10.9
Teleop44.3
End37.1
Second
112.00.1
115.6115.5
Auto16.9
Teleop51.4
End43.8
red by 20.4
4951
#25
91.61.0
90.191.1
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End51.4
Third
4618
#36
77.60.1
81.281.1
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5
blue by 2.8
80.31.0
78.979.9
Auto6.6
Teleop39.3
End34.4