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Red310
4039116.5
461877.6
607067.2
Blue185
77159.5
490249.9
672588.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2821830100400500600310185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.50.0
117.4117.4
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
red by 28.3
6725
#32
88.20.1
81.381.2
Auto8.6
Teleop41.1
End38.5
Second
4618
#36
77.60.0
75.375.3
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5
red by 18.1
771
#34
59.50.1
56.756.5
Auto4.9
Teleop38.1
End16.5
Third
6070
#20
67.20.0
62.262.2
Auto8.8
Teleop35.8
End22.5
red by 17.3
4902
#41
49.90.1
48.848.7
Auto6.6
Teleop33.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed