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Red305
451986.3
490783.9
270297.0
Blue356
2056147.7
131095.3
133477.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433000100200400500600305356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#29
97.04.5
96.8101.2
Auto11.3
Teleop41.6
End44.0
blue by 50.7
147.75.2
132.4137.7
Auto24.9
Teleop64.8
End58.0
Second
4519
#33
86.34.5
75.379.7
Auto15.8
Teleop32.6
End37.9
blue by 9.0
1310
#24
95.35.2
86.091.2
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
Third
83.94.5
66.170.6
Auto8.7
Teleop47.7
End27.5
red by 6.5
77.45.2
59.064.2
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End32.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed26%Pressure oddsEarned