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Red305
375663.0
613070.9
503974.1
Blue264
285281.8
634792.8
481471.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2032680100300400500600305264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#14
74.12.3
71.974.2
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End18.4
blue by 18.6
92.80.4
92.693.0
Auto9.3
Teleop44.8
End38.8
Second
70.92.3
68.771.0
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End34.9
blue by 10.9
2852
#31
81.80.4
81.682.1
Auto10.2
Teleop48.6
End23.0
Third
3756
#27
63.02.3
60.863.1
Auto8.4
Teleop32.0
End22.6
blue by 8.2
4814
#18
71.20.4
71.171.5
Auto9.8
Teleop37.2
End24.2