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Red255
672565.7
637895.8
190114.9
Blue185
503273.3
611079.9
548356.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062100100400500255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#3
114.90.5
115.3114.8
Auto15.6
Teleop46.3
End53.1
red by 35.1
79.90.6
80.579.9
Auto11.4
Teleop33.4
End35.0
Second
95.80.5
96.195.6
Auto12.2
Teleop40.5
End43.0
red by 22.4
5032
#15
73.30.6
73.973.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.9
End28.9
Third
6725
#26
65.70.5
66.165.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.6
End27.5
red by 9.1
5483
#23
56.60.6
57.256.6
Auto3.6
Teleop32.1
End20.9