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Red264
470471.1
4946106.3
201391.9
Blue255
270893.7
415286.1
184681.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872740100200400500600264255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.30.3
106.6106.4
Auto11.4
Teleop41.7
End53.1
red by 12.5
2708
#10
93.70.1
93.993.7
Auto12.0
Teleop35.9
End45.8
Second
91.90.3
92.392.0
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End32.0
red by 5.8
86.10.1
86.386.1
Auto10.8
Teleop37.8
End37.4
Third
4704
#20
71.10.3
71.571.3
Auto5.2
Teleop30.5
End35.4
blue by 10.1
1846
#15
81.30.1
81.481.3
Auto7.8
Teleop37.4
End36.1