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Red310
354360.6
6336102.7
4343100.5
Blue215
435765.2
567277.5
406954.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2721960100300400500310215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.71.4
97.498.8
Auto7.5
Teleop40.4
End54.8
red by 25.3
5672
#11
77.50.4
77.277.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.9
End39.3
Second
100.51.4
95.296.5
Auto6.9
Teleop41.1
End52.4
red by 35.3
4357
#18
65.20.4
64.965.4
Auto5.6
Teleop31.2
End28.4
Third
3543
#24
60.61.4
55.356.7
Auto9.1
Teleop34.2
End17.3
red by 6.3
4069
#21
54.30.4
54.054.4
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End22.3