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Red315
496863.0
1305117.3
4678106.0
Blue314
201391.9
4946106.3
470471.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289284150200250350400315314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.30.8
112.8113.6
Auto11.0
Teleop59.1
End47.3
red by 11.1
106.31.0
106.4107.4
Auto11.4
Teleop41.7
End53.1
Second
106.00.8
101.5102.3
Auto14.7
Teleop43.0
End48.3
red by 14.1
91.91.0
92.093.0
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End32.0
Third
4968
#19
63.00.8
58.559.3
Auto8.5
Teleop25.2
End29.4
blue by 8.1
4704
#20
71.11.0
71.372.3
Auto5.2
Teleop30.5
End35.4