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Red256
491475.9
4525105.4
2609101.9
Blue258
78169.5
468887.8
238665.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192140100400500600256258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.40.7
106.9106.2
Auto11.9
Teleop49.5
End44.0
red by 17.6
4688
#12
87.80.9
86.387.2
Auto11.0
Teleop34.2
End42.5
Second
101.90.8
103.6102.8
Auto14.0
Teleop41.8
End46.1
red by 32.4
781
#26
69.50.9
68.068.9
Auto7.8
Teleop38.3
End23.4
Third
4914
#27
75.90.7
77.576.8
Auto5.8
Teleop33.9
End36.2
red by 10.8
2386
#28
65.10.9
63.664.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End28.7