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Red256
491475.9
4525105.4
2609101.9
Blue295
77291.7
220093.6
632352.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122360100200400500256295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.40.6
106.0105.4
Auto11.9
Teleop49.5
End44.0
red by 11.8
93.60.8
92.493.2
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End36.6
Second
101.90.7
102.6101.9
Auto14.0
Teleop41.8
End46.1
red by 10.2
772
#6
91.70.7
90.791.4
Auto14.2
Teleop35.8
End41.7
Third
4914
#27
75.90.6
76.675.9
Auto5.8
Teleop33.9
End36.2
red by 23.8
6323
#25
52.10.8
51.151.8
Auto7.4
Teleop37.8
End7.0