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Red255
632352.1
220093.6
77291.7
Blue198
136092.3
495177.8
130555.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237237150200250300255198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.60.8
88.689.5
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End36.6
red by 1.3
92.30.7
92.091.4
Auto10.7
Teleop33.9
End47.6
Second
772
#6
91.70.7
87.788.3
Auto14.2
Teleop35.8
End41.7
red by 13.9
77.80.6
77.677.0
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End36.3
Third
6323
#25
52.10.8
47.748.4
Auto7.4
Teleop37.8
End7.0
blue by 3.6
1305
#37
55.70.6
55.554.9
Auto9.1
Teleop38.0
End8.7