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Red336
494684.7
128587.9
493983.1
Blue273
368390.7
503673.1
447629.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2751910100400500600336273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.91.4
85.887.2
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End39.1
blue by 2.8
3683
#13
90.70.6
90.791.2
Auto13.1
Teleop51.3
End26.3
Second
4946
#15
84.71.4
82.684.0
Auto10.5
Teleop34.3
End39.8
red by 11.6
73.10.6
73.073.6
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
Third
4939
#18
83.11.5
80.882.3
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
red by 53.6
4476
#40
29.50.6
29.430.0
Auto3.0
Teleop24.4
End2.1