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Red212
494684.7
128587.9
493983.1
Blue155
107577.8
611053.8
201351.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2741810100300400500600212155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.90.9
85.184.2
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End39.1
red by 10.1
1075
#14
77.80.7
78.277.5
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End46.1
Second
4946
#15
84.70.9
81.981.0
Auto10.5
Teleop34.3
End39.8
red by 30.9
6110
#11
53.80.7
54.253.5
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End23.9
Third
4939
#18
83.11.0
80.079.0
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
red by 31.6
2013
#31
51.60.7
52.051.2
Auto5.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0