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Red260
494684.7
128587.9
493983.1
Blue116
368390.7
503673.1
447629.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2781980100400500600260116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.90.2
87.087.1
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End39.1
blue by 2.8
3683
#13
90.71.8
92.690.7
Auto13.1
Teleop51.3
End26.3
Second
4946
#15
84.70.2
83.883.9
Auto10.5
Teleop34.3
End39.8
red by 11.6
73.12.0
75.173.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
Third
4939
#18
83.10.2
82.182.2
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
red by 53.6
4476
#40
29.51.8
31.329.5
Auto3.0
Teleop24.4
End2.1