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Red150
133450.1
591265.1
491790.8
Blue226
124196.1
260990.6
3015108.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603390100200300400500600700150226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#17
90.87.5
109.4101.9
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End29.7
blue by 18.0
108.86.4
104.097.6
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End48.1
Second
5912
#29
65.17.5
80.673.2
Auto5.2
Teleop28.0
End31.9
blue by 31.0
1241
#16
96.16.4
111.3104.9
Auto10.9
Teleop45.1
End40.1
Third
1334
#24
50.17.5
66.959.5
Auto4.9
Teleop32.8
End12.3
blue by 40.5
90.66.4
96.690.2
Auto11.9
Teleop46.6
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor oddsMissed55%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsMissed