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Red114
130595.7
467878.9
4976101.0
Blue245
493989.2
270288.4
491488.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322750100200400500114245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#25
101.012.9
118.1105.2
Auto14.6
Teleop56.7
End29.8
red by 11.8
4939
#22
89.21.6
90.288.6
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End35.2
Second
95.712.9
108.795.7
Auto12.5
Teleop43.6
End39.6
red by 7.2
2702
#19
88.41.6
83.882.2
Auto8.6
Teleop41.0
End38.8
Third
4678
#12
78.912.9
81.268.2
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End24.6
blue by 9.5
88.41.6
94.492.9
Auto5.6
Teleop39.1
End43.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
76%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
29%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed