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Red190
1075103.2
137454.8
77290.5
Blue235
491493.6
490373.9
633183.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264261180200220240280300320340190235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.20.0
103.2103.2
Auto13.7
Teleop46.5
End43.0
red by 9.6
93.60.0
93.693.6
Auto7.3
Teleop44.4
End41.9
Second
772
#22
90.50.0
90.590.5
Auto13.7
Teleop44.0
End32.8
red by 7.2
6331
#11
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto8.2
Teleop45.4
End29.7
Third
1374
#19
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto6.2
Teleop29.3
End19.2
blue by 19.1
4903
#13
73.90.0
73.973.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End31.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds