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Red180
493887.1
653750.4
2834107.8
Blue215
133477.4
493280.9
1325101.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266265200250300350180215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.80.0
107.8107.8
Auto12.2
Teleop51.7
End43.9
red by 6.4
101.40.0
101.4101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
Second
4938
#16
87.10.0
87.187.1
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End44.5
red by 6.2
80.90.0
80.980.9
Auto7.6
Teleop37.6
End35.6
Third
6537
#14
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto5.6
Teleop34.1
End10.7
blue by 27.0
77.40.0
77.477.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End32.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor odds3%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds