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Red351
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue258
502491.4
2609121.0
637862.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272294100200400500351258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.61.4
109.1110.6
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
blue by 10.4
121.00.4
121.3121.0
Auto16.8
Teleop46.2
End58.0
Second
610
#1
103.91.4
102.4103.9
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 12.5
91.40.4
91.891.4
Auto10.0
Teleop43.6
End37.9
Third
5596
#28
50.71.4
49.250.7
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
blue by 11.4
6378
#14
62.10.4
62.562.1
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End16.9