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Red335
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue211
502491.4
2609121.0
637862.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270300100200400500335211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.60.1
109.0109.1
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
blue by 10.4
121.01.7
123.0121.3
Auto16.8
Teleop46.2
End58.0
Second
610
#1
103.90.1
102.3102.4
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 12.5
91.41.7
93.591.8
Auto10.0
Teleop43.6
End37.9
Third
5596
#28
50.70.1
49.149.2
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
blue by 11.4
6378
#14
62.11.7
64.262.5
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End16.9