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Red274
356032.6
188107.7
124196.3
Blue213
131084.8
600983.9
507677.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236266100200300400500600274213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#3
107.71.0
104.8105.8
Auto14.6
Teleop50.8
End42.3
red by 22.9
1310
#13
84.80.8
85.684.8
Auto13.7
Teleop38.2
End32.9
Second
1241
#12
96.31.0
93.494.4
Auto8.4
Teleop50.2
End37.7
red by 12.4
83.90.8
84.783.9
Auto6.6
Teleop38.7
End38.6
Third
3560
#34
32.61.0
29.730.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End7.3
blue by 44.4
5076
#23
77.00.8
77.877.0
Auto5.5
Teleop29.1
End42.4